Peñarol vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
LFC
1 - 1
PEÑ
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
JUV
70%
20%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
24%
51%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
SUD
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 3
JUV
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
FEN
5 - 1
CEL
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 1
CSM
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
CEL
71%
19%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 1
RAC
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |