Peñarol vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1979 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
JUN
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1978 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
CAL
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1978 |
DAN
1 - 2
PEÑ
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1978 |
JUN
1 - 0
PEÑ
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
2 - 1
TEC
60%
20%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |