Peñarol vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
BVS
1 - 4
PEÑ
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
SLO
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
CER
3 - 3
PEÑ
34%
27%
40%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2002 |
RAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2002 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
CSY
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLM
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2002 |
RPO
2 - 4
NAC
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
EME
0 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2002 |
SLO
1 - 0
NAC
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
AUC
0 - 0
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |