Peñarol vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
AME
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1985 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
COL
60%
24%
17%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1985 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
MAG
90%
7%
3%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1985 |
BVS
0 - 2
PEÑ
3%
30%
67%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1985 |
COL
1 - 2
PEÑ
3%
33%
64%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
NAC
2 - 0
AME
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1985 |
UNI
1 - 1
NAC
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1985 |
SBO
1 - 2
NAC
47%
28%
25%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1985 |
OCT
0 - 1
NAC
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 1985 |
NAC
4 - 1
UNI
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |