Peñarol vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2001 |
SAO
3 - 0
PEÑ
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2001 |
PEÑ
1 - 3
VAS
17%
22%
61%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
TAC
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2001 |
VAS
2 - 1
PEÑ
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2001 |
AME
2 - 1
PEÑ
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
VEL
2 - 0
HUR
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
ALM
1 - 2
VEL
23%
26%
50%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
VEL
0 - 3
BEL
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
RAC
1 - 1
VEL
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
VEL
2 - 0
NOB
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |