Peñarol vs CA San Cristóbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1983 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
NAC
51%
27%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1983 |
CRI
0 - 0
PEÑ
14%
22%
64%
|
84 | 36 | 48 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
ASV
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1982 |
COB
0 - 1
PEÑ
61%
21%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1982 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
COB
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CA San Cristóbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1983 |
NAC
5 - 1
CRI
90%
8%
2%
|
36 | 84 | 48 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1983 |
CRI
1 - 2
NAC
11%
19%
70%
|
36 | 84 | 48 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1983 |
CRI
0 - 0
PEÑ
14%
22%
64%
|
36 | 84 | 48 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1983 |
NAC
1 - 0
CRI
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 73 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
BSC
3 - 3
CRI
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 71 | 36 | +1 |