Peñarol vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1995 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
IND
45%
26%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
PEÑ
3 - 3
CER
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1994 |
BOC
4 - 1
PEÑ
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
BOC
46%
29%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1993 |
GRE
2 - 0
PEÑ
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
CEN
3 - 0
RIV
38%
28%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
RIV
2 - 3
LAN
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1995 |
CER
0 - 1
RIV
26%
26%
49%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
IND
1 - 1
RIV
50%
26%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
RIV
1 - 1
VEL
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |