Peñarol vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1977 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
BOC
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1977 |
RIV
2 - 1
PEÑ
71%
19%
11%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1977 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
DEF
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 1976 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
IND
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1976 |
RIV
3 - 0
PEÑ
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1977 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
85%
10%
5%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
RIV
5 - 3
CAU
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1977 |
RIV
2 - 1
PEÑ
71%
19%
11%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
ARG
0 - 2
RIV
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1977 |
RIV
1 - 1
NOB
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |