Peñarol vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1976 |
IND
1 - 0
PEÑ
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
UNI
73%
16%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1976 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
PAL
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEÑ
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 0
PEÑ
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1976 |
RIV
0 - 0
IND
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1976 |
EST
1 - 0
RIV
60%
20%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1976 |
RIV
4 - 1
GAL
89%
8%
3%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1976 |
RIV
2 - 1
POR
85%
11%
5%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1976 |
POR
0 - 2
RIV
27%
25%
49%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |