Peñarol vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
43.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2000 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
BLO
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 1
PEÑ
57%
21%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1998 |
CCP
3 - 0
PEÑ
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1998 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
CCP
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
ALI
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2000 |
BOC
1 - 0
ARG
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2000 |
CHA
0 - 4
BOC
20%
23%
57%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2000 |
BOC
2 - 1
UCO
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2000 |
BOC
1 - 1
LAN
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
BLO
1 - 0
BOC
25%
23%
52%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |