Peñarol vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1979 |
IND
1 - 0
PEÑ
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1979 |
BOC
1 - 0
PEÑ
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1979 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
IND
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
NAC
0 - 2
PEÑ
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1979 |
TEC
0 - 1
PEÑ
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1979 |
ALB
1 - 0
BOC
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1979 |
BOC
2 - 0
IND
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1979 |
BOC
0 - 0
IND
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
COL
1 - 0
BOC
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1979 |
IND
1 - 0
BOC
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |