Peñarol vs Bella Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
GOD
1 - 3
PEÑ
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
IND
3 - 0
PEÑ
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
FEN
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MWA
1 - 2
PEÑ
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
PEÑ
0 - 3
CSM
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BVS
0 - 1
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
JUN
1 - 0
BVS
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BVS
4 - 1
DAN
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
BVS
1 - 1
CEN
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
BVS
1 - 0
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |