Peñarol vs Bella Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1979 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
BOC
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1979 |
IND
1 - 0
PEÑ
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1979 |
BOC
1 - 0
PEÑ
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1979 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
IND
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
NAC
0 - 2
PEÑ
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |