Peñarol vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
BOT
4 - 1
PEÑ
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
PAL
2 - 0
PEÑ
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1973 |
NAC
2 - 0
PEÑ
69%
18%
14%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1972 |
PEÑ
0 - 3
NAC
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1973 |
BOT
2 - 0
PAL
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
BOT
4 - 1
PEÑ
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1973 |
BOT
3 - 2
NAC
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1973 |
PAL
3 - 2
BOT
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1972 |
PAL
0 - 0
BOT
65%
19%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |