Peñarol vs Boston River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
LFC
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 0
PEÑ
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LFC
0 - 1
PEÑ
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
MWA
0 - 0
PEÑ
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RAC
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 2
BOS
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BOS
0 - 1
CEL
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 0
BOS
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
BOS
2 - 0
TOR
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 0
BOS
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |