Peñarol vs Boston River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
CCP
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 1
PEÑ
23%
28%
49%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
MWA
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
PEÑ
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
CCP
1 - 0
PEÑ
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2022 |
BOS
2 - 3
LFC
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
REN
0 - 1
BOS
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BOS
2 - 0
DEP
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
DAN
0 - 0
BOS
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
BOS
0 - 6
NAC
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |