Peñarol vs Boston River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
JWI
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DAN
72%
19%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
ATP
1 - 0
PEÑ
60%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
DEF
2 - 1
PEÑ
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
BOS
0 - 2
MWA
40%
26%
35%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
CEL
0 - 0
BOS
55%
25%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BOS
2 - 3
REN
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 2
BOS
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
BOS
3 - 1
DAN
46%
26%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |