Peñarol vs Boston River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
MIL
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
IND
3 - 3
PEÑ
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
CEL
1 - 0
PEÑ
24%
26%
50%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
CAL
62%
21%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
DAN
1 - 0
BOS
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
BOS
2 - 3
CEL
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
BOS
2 - 1
RAC
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
MWA
0 - 3
BOS
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
BOS
0 - 4
LFC
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -2 |