Peñarol vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1998 |
PEÑ
6 - 1
OPE
67%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
NAC
1 - 4
PEÑ
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1998 |
BOL
1 - 0
PEÑ
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1998 |
OPE
0 - 0
PEÑ
30%
26%
45%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1998 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
OPE
1 - 1
BOL
32%
27%
42%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1998 |
BOL
2 - 0
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1998 |
BOL
1 - 0
PEÑ
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1998 |
BOL
3 - 2
OPE
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1997 |
SPC
3 - 0
BOL
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |