Peñarol vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1969 |
PEÑ
5 - 2
QUI
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
NAC
2 - 2
PEÑ
59%
22%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
QUI
1 - 1
PEÑ
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1969 |
BSC
0 - 2
PEÑ
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1969 |
NAC
2 - 0
BSC
73%
16%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
BSC
0 - 0
QUI
51%
21%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
BSC
1 - 1
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1969 |
BSC
0 - 2
PEÑ
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
QUI
1 - 0
BSC
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |