Peñarol vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
RIV
56%
23%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FEN
0 - 0
PEÑ
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
PRO
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
JWI
3 - 1
PEÑ
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
ATP
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
ATP
0 - 1
COR
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
SCI
2 - 1
ATP
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
ATP
0 - 0
CEA
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FLA
3 - 1
ATP
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |