Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-6
Peñarol vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
NAC
3 - 1
PEÑ
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1995 |
RIV
1 - 1
PEÑ
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1995 |
IND
0 - 1
PEÑ
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1995 |
CER
0 - 2
PEÑ
46%
23%
30%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1995 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RIV
36%
31%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
NAC
3 - 1
PEÑ
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1995 |
UCH
0 - 0
NAC
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1995 |
UCO
1 - 1
NAC
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1995 |
MIL
2 - 0
NAC
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
1 - 0
UCH
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |