Copa Libertadores Final
Global 3-3
Peñarol vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1987 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
AME
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
AME
2 - 0
PEÑ
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
RIV
1 - 0
PEÑ
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
IND
2 - 4
PEÑ
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
RIV
48%
28%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1987 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
AME
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
AME
2 - 0
PEÑ
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1987 |
AME
4 - 0
BSC
60%
24%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1987 |
AME
1 - 1
COB
51%
28%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
BSC
0 - 2
AME
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |