Peñarol vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1985 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
COL
60%
24%
17%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1985 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
MAG
90%
7%
3%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1985 |
BVS
0 - 2
PEÑ
3%
30%
67%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1985 |
COL
1 - 2
PEÑ
3%
33%
64%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1985 |
MAG
1 - 1
PEÑ
6%
22%
72%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1985 |
AME
2 - 1
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
AME
2 - 0
CCP
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
MIL
0 - 0
AME
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1985 |
GUA
1 - 1
AME
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1985 |
CCP
0 - 0
AME
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |