Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-2
Peñarol vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
ALI
1 - 0
PEÑ
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1998 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
BOL
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1998 |
PEÑ
6 - 1
OPE
67%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
NAC
1 - 4
PEÑ
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1998 |
BOL
1 - 0
PEÑ
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
ALI
1 - 0
PEÑ
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1998 |
RIV
2 - 0
ALI
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1998 |
ALI
1 - 0
COL
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1998 |
SPC
3 - 2
ALI
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
COL
1 - 0
ALI
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |