Peñarol vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1987 |
PRO
1 - 1
PEÑ
16%
26%
58%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1987 |
AGU
1 - 1
PEÑ
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1987 |
ALI
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1987 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
PRO
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1986 |
RIV
3 - 1
PEÑ
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1987 |
PRO
0 - 0
ALI
53%
22%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1987 |
ALI
2 - 1
AGU
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1987 |
ALI
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1987 |
ALI
0 - 0
PRO
66%
18%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1987 |
AGU
0 - 2
ALI
63%
19%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |