Peñarol vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
CER
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
BOS
1 - 2
PEÑ
18%
24%
58%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
LFC
2 - 4
PEÑ
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
PEÑ
1 - 4
ATP
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
MWA
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ATE
1 - 0
BOS
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ATE
0 - 1
LFC
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MWA
2 - 2
ATE
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
ATE
1 - 1
RIV
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
RAC
0 - 0
ATE
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |