Peñarol vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
DAN
1 - 2
PEÑ
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
FEN
1 - 2
PEÑ
27%
25%
49%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
CSC
76%
16%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 3
PEÑ
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CSC
2 - 0
ATE
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ATE
1 - 1
FEN
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ATE
1 - 2
JUN
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
RAC
3 - 2
ATE
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 0
ATE
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |