Peñarol vs AD San Agustín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1987 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
ALI
75%
16%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1987 |
PRO
1 - 1
PEÑ
16%
26%
58%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1987 |
AGU
1 - 1
PEÑ
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1987 |
ALI
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
27%
48%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1987 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
PRO
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AD San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1987 |
PRO
3 - 0
AGU
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1987 |
ALI
2 - 1
AGU
54%
21%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1987 |
AGU
1 - 1
PEÑ
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1987 |
AGU
3 - 1
PRO
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1987 |
AGU
0 - 2
ALI
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |