Peñarol AC vs Ypiranga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
66.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PRI
1 - 1
PEN
25%
24%
52%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 0
IRA
67%
19%
15%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
PEN
24%
22%
54%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ypiranga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
SCI
4 - 2
YPI
78%
16%
7%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
PEL
0 - 2
YPI
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
YPI
3 - 3
NOV
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SLU
0 - 3
YPI
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
YPI
1 - 0
PAY
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |