Peñarol AC vs Vilhena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
REM
4 - 2
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 3
ATL
60%
22%
19%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
HOL
0 - 1
PEN
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 2
IRA
72%
18%
11%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 2
PEN
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 2
REM
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 1
PAR
53%
22%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 1
VIL
42%
24%
35%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
MOT
1 - 2
VIL
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 0
CAC
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | -1 |