Peñarol AC vs São Raimundo RR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 1
PEN
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
YAP
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 2
PEN
40%
24%
37%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 0
GAL
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
FAS
3 - 2
PEN
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
São Raimundo RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 1
PEN
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
GAL
0 - 1
SAO
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
GAS
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
YAP
0 - 1
SAO
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAO
61%
22%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |