Peñarol AC vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 0
PEN
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
VIL
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
PLA
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
PEN
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEN
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
PLA
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
PLA
2 - 0
NAC
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEN
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
CUI
3 - 1
NAC
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 0
VIL
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |