Peñarol AC vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
78.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
5 - 2
PRI
54%
24%
23%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 2
PEN
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 0
OPE
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
PEN
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FAS
2 - 1
PEN
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 2
CRZ
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
USC
0 - 3
ATM
10%
18%
72%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 0
DEM
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
ATM
11%
18%
70%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 3
ATM
13%
19%
69%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |