Penapolense vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 1
PEN
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 2
PPE
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
POR
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
4 - 1
SAN
10%
21%
68%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | +3 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 2
PEN
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
XVD
1 - 3
SAO
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
XVD
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 1
XVD
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
XVD
3 - 2
OES
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 0
XVD
38%
27%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |