Penapolense vs Vocem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
TAN
0 - 1
PEN
11%
15%
74%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 0
TUP
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
PEN
12%
19%
70%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
FER
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VOC
2 - 1
PEN
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Vocem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
TUP
0 - 3
VOC
30%
28%
43%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VOC
3 - 0
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FER
2 - 5
VOC
30%
29%
42%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TAN
0 - 1
VOC
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VOC
2 - 1
PEN
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |