Penapolense vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 1
LIN
41%
26%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MIR
4 - 2
PEN
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NOR
2 - 1
PEN
27%
26%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 3
FER
26%
26%
49%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 5
XVD
39%
27%
35%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 3
XVD
23%
26%
51%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
FER
5 - 1
VEL
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 2
LIN
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 1
VEL
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 0
NOR
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |