Penapolense vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
BAT
1 - 2
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 0
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 0
PEN
63%
22%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VOT
3 - 1
PEN
34%
25%
42%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 0
GUA
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
3 - 2
VEL
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
VEL
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 1
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |