Penapolense vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
PEN
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
TAU
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ECN
0 - 1
PEN
38%
24%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
BAT
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LEM
1 - 2
PEN
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
PEN
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 0
ECN
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TAU
2 - 1
VEL
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
VEL
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 0
FLA
8%
16%
76%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | +2 |