Penapolense vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
2 - 0
PEN
21%
23%
57%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
MAR
60%
23%
18%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
TAU
1 - 0
PEN
32%
27%
42%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 0
ATL
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
SAO
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
PAU
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
UNI
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
UNI
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
TAU
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
UNI
33%
26%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |