Penapolense vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PPE
2 - 0
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
XVD
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 3
PEN
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
MOG
3 - 0
PEN
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 0
ITU
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
4 - 0
UNI
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PAU
1 - 0
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 2
UNI
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
XVD
36%
25%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 2
UNI
62%
20%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |