Penapolense vs Tupã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
PEN
12%
19%
70%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
FER
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VOC
2 - 1
PEN
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 0
PEN
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 2
ITA
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
TAN
3 - 0
TUP
16%
19%
65%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TUP
3 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
TUP
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
TUP
1 - 0
VOC
45%
26%
29%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 1
TUP
49%
23%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |