Penapolense vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PEN
4 - 0
PEL
62%
22%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 2
PEN
45%
28%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 0
LON
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MET
2 - 0
PEN
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LON
1 - 0
PEN
52%
26%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAO
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
FFL
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |