Penapolense vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RIO
3 - 1
PEN
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
3 - 2
SAO
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 0
NOR
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 2
PEN
57%
24%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 0
NAC
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
RBB
1 - 1
SAO
67%
21%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAO
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 2
PEN
57%
24%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
SAO
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 0
LIN
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |