Penapolense vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
VIL
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
PEN
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
PEN
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 2
JUV
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -3 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
PEN
76%
17%
8%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 0
SAN
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
AUD
25%
25%
51%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
TAU
0 - 0
SAN
36%
25%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
PEN
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |