Penapolense vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 2
PEN
45%
28%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 0
LON
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MET
2 - 0
PEN
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LON
1 - 0
PEN
52%
26%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 0
MET
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PEL
3 - 1
BOA
27%
25%
49%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
PEL
2 - 2
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LON
3 - 2
PEL
69%
21%
10%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
PEL
37%
26%
38%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
PEL
2 - 2
MET
33%
28%
40%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |