Penapolense vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
PEN
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
PEN
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
LIN
39%
27%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
IND
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
PEN
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 4
BRA
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 0
PAU
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 1
PAU
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 2
PEN
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |