Penapolense vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 0
PEN
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 3
PEN
59%
23%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 2
BRA
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CAP
2 - 0
PEN
32%
26%
43%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 1
VEL
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
MON
2 - 2
NOR
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 0
CAT
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
NOR
2 - 2
MAT
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SJS
1 - 3
NOR
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |