Penapolense vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 0
PEN
63%
22%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VOT
3 - 1
PEN
34%
25%
42%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 0
GUA
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
PEN
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
TAU
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
PAU
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 1
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
BAT
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |