Penapolense vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 2
BOA
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
PEL
1 - 1
PEN
25%
27%
47%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 2
PEN
84%
12%
4%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
PEN
79%
16%
6%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
PEN
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
LON
1 - 0
MET
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
MET
3 - 2
BOA
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MET
0 - 0
JEC
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FFL
2 - 1
MET
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MET
0 - 4
CRI
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |